In Belarus, new military exercises with Russian soldiers have recently begun, but this does not mean that the invaders are preparing for a new attack on Ukraine from the territory of the state.

 This is reported by Welt.

 It should be noted that joint flight and tactical exercises of the aviation units of the armed forces of Belarus and Russia have begun in Belarus, which will last until February 1. According to Belarusian analysts, at least eight Russian combat aircraft and 12 attack helicopters have arrived at the country's military airfields in recent days.

 At the same time, it is recalled that before the Russian invasion in February 2022, the concentration of troops for alleged maneuvers was being prepared for months. At that time, the Russians also attacked Ukraine from the territory of Belarus and made an unsuccessful attempt to attack Kyiv.

 The leader of the Belarusian regime, Oleksandr Lukashenko, did not just silently give the green light to attacks on Ukraine from the country's territory. He made Belarus available as a logistics center and as a refuge for wounded Russians. In addition, almost 100 T-72 tanks and artillery ammunition from their warehouses were sent to Russia.

 In addition, the Belarusian military trains newly mobilized Russian recruits, reducing the pressure on the overstretched educational potential of the Russian Federation. Iranian officers and military advisers have also been seen in Belarus, possibly training the Russians to use Iranian drones.

Is the new offensive from Belarus real?

 On paper, the Armed Forces of Belarus have more than 45,000 soldiers, and about 15,000 are considered almost combat-ready. Compared to 300,000 mobilized Russians, Belarusian troops would be a drop in the ocean.

 A purely Russian attack from Belarus also seems unlikely at the moment. Currently, there are about 13,000 Russian military personnel in Belarus. A successful Russian attack would require a significantly larger number of troops.

 Ukrainian military expert Mykhailo Samus suggests that the Russians may need at least 80,000 troops to launch a second invasion attempt from the north. Such a concentration of troops has not yet been observed in Belarus.

 In addition, the Ukrainian military has well fortified the border with Belarus. And the topography of the border area with its marshes and dense forests favors defense rather than attack.

 As previously reported, Russia lacks at least enough people to prepare a new offensive against Ukraine from Belarus.

 In addition, the military does not rule out that air alarms may increase in Ukraine in connection with aviation exercises in Belarus, in which Russia also participates.