Retired British military officer Frank Ledwidge shared his thoughts on the situation in Ukraine in an interview with The Guardian.
He believes that Ukraine's counteroffensive can be considered neither a spectacular victory nor a complete failure. It is more like a game where the Ukrainians and their allies are trying to win their positions. As events unfold, time is becoming increasingly limited.
US President Joe Biden has promised to support Ukraine "as long as it takes," although he did not give specific numbers. Given the possibility of the conflict continuing beyond 2024, Ledwidge believes that two main issues require the attention of Western strategists.
First, it is the upcoming US presidential election, which may affect the country's strategic course.
Secondly, the Pacific Ocean region and Taiwan's affairs, which may be important for Ukraine, and the Ukrainian case may fade into the background. Thus, the unification of the event around an effective long-term plan has already begun.
The head of the NATO Secretary General's Office, Stian Jenssen, has already expressed support for this direction. Since the conflict is likely to continue for the next year, it is important to consider where Ukraine might be in a few years. It is worth remembering that the enemy also has its own plans and the ability to influence the situation.