Ukraine sees a risk of a defense breakthrough by Russia by summer. This was reported by Bloomberg.

"Ukrainian officials are worried that Russian forces could gain significant momentum by summer if their allies fail to increase ammunition supplies, according to a person familiar with their analysis," the publication writes.

According to the publication, Ukraine's and the West's assessments of the situation on the front have been "becoming more and more gloomy" for several weeks now as Russia seizes the initiative on the front lines and delays with American aid.

The fall of Avdiivka and several nearby villages increases fears that Kyiv's defenses "may not hold."

"Ukraine could start losing the war already this year," said Michael Kofman, a Russia and Ukraine specialist at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

The source said that depending on the outcome of the current campaign, Russia will decide whether to continue a slow, point-by-point offensive or accumulate resources for a larger-scale attack to break through Ukrainian lines this summer.

The publication notes that Ukraine's strategy is to try to hold the front line as long as possible until the second half of the year. The reason for this is to wait for F-16s and ammunition, which will allow Kyiv to plan a counteroffensive in 2025.


According to Ukrainian intelligence, cited by Bloomberg, Putin has not abandoned his original goal of capturing major cities, including Kyiv and Odesa.